Free MLB Picks & Predictions - Today's Best Expert MLB Bets (2024)

Sanchez has gone Under 5.5 strikeouts in each of his last four starts, even with him completing seven innings in the last two outings. Overall, Sanchez has gone Under 5.5 strikeouts in 10 of 15 starts this season. In fact, the southpaw saw most of his high-strikeout games come early in the season. After going Over 5.5 strikeouts in three of his first four starts, Sanchez has had 6+ Ks in just two of his last 11 games.

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Ryan Gilbert - Pick Made 1 hrs, 17 min ago.

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CJ Abrams is going good at the plate as the Nationals begin a road series with the Rays on Friday night. The leadoff man extraordinaire is batting .368 in June with an OPS over 1.000 and has tallied as least two bases in 12 of those 19 games, including his current run of five multi-hit games across his last seven starts. Tampa starter Zach Eflin is tied for the fifth-highest hits per nine innings figure in baseball (9.6), canceling out his MLB-best walk rate. Eflin relies primarily on a sinker and cutter, and Abrams has been squaring up both pitches nicely in 2024. His xBA vs. sinkers is .325, and his xBA vs. cutters is .443.

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Robert Criscola - Pick Made 7 hrs, 4 min ago.

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Jose Sirisports the 30th-best isolated power against lefties, and theTampa Bay Raysoutfielder is well-suited to attack the pitching arsenal that will be thrown at him when he facesWashington Nationalssouthpaw Mitchell Parker. The curveball makes up 25% of Parker's pitching arsenal, and this is a pitch that Siri destroys, boasting a hard-hit rate of nearly 65% against the offering. Parker has only given up one homer off that pitch this season, but with a hard-hit rate that's well below league average and a tailor-made matchup on tap for Siri, don't be surprised if it's two after tonight.

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Chris Hatfield - Pick Made 2 hrs, 31 min ago.

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There has been line movement to the Over 4.5 strikeouts for Scherzer at multiple sportsbooks, and the veteran righty should top the 55 pitches he threw in his season debut last time out. Scherzer spun five scoreless frames while allowing a single hit and striking out four against the Kansas City Royals on Sunday, and there weren’t any alarms with his velocity or pitch mix. Additionally, he fanned 25% of the Royals he faced, and will just needs to face a few more batters Friday to reach the five-strikeout benchmark.

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Neil Parker - Pick Made 7 hrs, 1 min ago.

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Jorge Mateohas been awful against breaking balls this season. Most notable is the slider, where theBaltimore Oriolesutility man is hitting .072, slugging .178, and striking out 20% of the time. That pitch was most effective for Max Scherzer in his season debut five days ago, as theTexas Rangershurler struck out two and forced an overall 50% whiff rate against Kansas City.That makes me feel good about fading Mateo's hits prop at plus money, especially considering Texas will look to get the three-time Cy Young winner deeper into games. Mateo has also been pinch-hit for eight times this season and has never recorded a hit against Scherzer, so Iwould play this up to -105.

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Chris Hatfield - Pick Made 2 hrs, 33 min ago.

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The leading candidate in the AL MVP race has been absolutely mashing the ball this month, leading the MLB with 32 RBI in June while ranking third in home runs (10) and batting average (.382). Judge has been virtually unstoppable over the past week as he’s homered in four of his last seven games, and he has a good chance at doing so again versus Jays starterYusei Kikuchi. The left-hander has hit a rough patch over the last month and is coming off his worst start of the year after giving up eight hits and four runs in just two innings against the Guardians on June 23. The southpaw has allowed at least four earned runs in four of his last six starts and has been particularly susceptible to the long ball, surrendering nine homers through his last nine games.

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Chris Faria - Pick Made 5 hrs, 12 min ago.

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The White Sox snapped a four-game losing streak with a win vs. the Braves and I'm banking on that being a catalyst into them winning two straight with the Rockies coming to town. The Rockies were just were just swept by the Astros and they've not scored more than 2 runs in three straight games. The White Sox pitcher, Drew Thorpe pitched well in his last outing limited Detroit to just two hits in six innings of work. I expect more of the same against a feeble-hitting Rockies side.

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Chris Vasile - Pick Made 19 hrs, 44 min ago.

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Boston is sending Nick Pivetta to the hill today. Pivetta hasn't been great but with a 4.06 ERA and an OBA of .237 through 11 starts, he's been significantly better than Padres starter Randy Vasquez. Vasquez has a 5.10 ERA with a .345 OBA through 10 starts and he's been even worse away from pitcher-friendly Petco Park, posting a 6.85 ERA with an OBA of .385 in five starts on the road.The Red Sox have also been mashing at the plate lately, ranking fourth in the majors in OPS (.820) and plating 5.59 runs per game this month.

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Rohit Ponnaiya - Pick Made 5 hrs, 58 min ago.

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Ronel Blanco famously opened his season with a no-hitter against Toronto and nearly repeated that feat on June 16, tossing seven no-hit innings against Detroit. Overall, opposing batters are hitting just .164 with a .551 OPS against Blanco this season, and the right-hander enters tonight allowing just 5.1 hits per nine innings. Overall, that has allowed Blanco to go 8-2 with a 2.34 ERA and a 0.969 WHIP this season, and the Dominican native gives Houston a clear edge over New York starter Jose Quintana tonight.The Mets' southpaw has gone 3-5 with a 4.58 ERA for the Mets this season, with a concerning 4.89 FIP and a 1.322 WHIP. The 35-year-old is striking out fewer batters and walking more than in any of his last five seasons, a sign that Quintana may finally be hitting the downside of his aging curve.In a battle between two red-hot teams who can both hit, I’m going with the side that has the clear pitching advantage.

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Ed Scimia - Pick Made 4 hrs, 2 min ago.

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Even with the Cubs checking out as one of the more strikeout-prone teams against righties (6th-ranked 24.5 K%), Rea’s 5.93 K/9 and 15.6 K% both rank 73rd out of 75 qualified starters in the majors. I also value Rae’s low 6.9 swinging strike percentage. The Milwaukee starter also sports a 2.08 K:BB rate that ranks 68th among qualified starters, and Chicago ranks 3rd in BB% against righties.

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Neil Parker - Pick Made 5 hrs, 51 min ago.

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Bailey Oberis about as extreme a fly-ball pitcher as they come, allowing balls in the air at a 31.7% clip, which is over eight points higher than the league average. TheMinnesota Twinsright-hander will now take the mound at one of the hardest venues to hit home runs, and theSeattle Marinerscontinue to be one of the most pedestrian lineups in baseball, hitting a large complement of balls in the air inside the pitcher-friendly confines of T-Mobile Park. While they’ve taken a ton more walks over the last two weeks, they’re still striking out more than any team in baseball. For Mariners starterLogan Gilbert, the righty's ground ball rate has increased slightly this year, putting him only a few percentage points above the league average in fly balls. However, given the Twins’ approach, we can expect a lot of well-struck balls in the air, which should be contained inside such an arduous park for home run hitters.

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Kenny Ducey - Pick Made 42 min ago.

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Logan Webb has been much more effective at home (2.06 ERA, 1.06 WHIP) than on the road (4.08 ERA, 1.36 ERA) this season. He faces a Dodgers lineup that carries a heavy reputation but has been lightened a bit since Mookie Betts broke his hand. Over the last 10 days, they’ve posted a 102 wRC+ (15th) and a .307 wOBA (16th) against right-handed pitching.On the flip side, rookie Landon Knack makes his sixth start of the year. The verdict is still out on Knack, but it’s undeniable that he’s been effective in the box score thus far. He’s allowed no more than two earned runs in each of his five starts. If Knack does falter on Friday, it helps to have one of the league’s best bullpens behind him — the Dodgers rank second in ERA (3.02) and WHIP (1.06) out of the pen.

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JD Yonke - Pick Made 5 hrs, 35 min ago.

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It will be a moderately warm evening in the Bay Area, with the wind blowing out and Ohtani facing a right-handed pitcher. AlthoughSan Francisco Giantsstarter Logan Webb remains an elite ground ball pitcher (ranking in the 98th percentile), Ohtani has the skills to overcome this, as he's put up a hard-hit rate of 68% against the sinker in 2024. That's enough for me to take a shot at such a nice number against Webb, who has thrown that pitch over 35% of the time this season.

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Chris Hatfield - Pick Made 2 hrs, 34 min ago.

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